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Revenue, Risk and Assurance

Mobile Money, Credit & Financial Services

Grow the wallet and lend to the customer who will repay, with the lender keeping the decision.

Wallet growth, retention and reactivation are decided like any customer decision; credit eligibility, repayment propensity and a limit recommendation are estimated from approved, purpose-limited data with reason codes, and the lender or its credit engine decides.

For Mobile financial services, bank and MFI credit risk, and collections teams.

The decision, annotated from the record

A wallet customer asks for a small loan before payday, and the lender has an approved, purpose-limited view of their operator and wallet history.

This applicant's probability of repaying, the limit it supports, and the lender's decision.

  1. Approve at the recommended limitConsidered
  2. Approve at a lower limit, with the reasonConsidered
  3. Refer for a human decisionConsidered
  4. No loan, with the reason codes shownConsidered

Before anything reaches the customer: Consent, purpose limitation, data approval, affordability and the lender's own policy checks pass.

What would reach them: The lender's credit engine approves, limits or declines; the customer sees the decision and its reasons in their own language. On USSD, App, Agent.

Annotated, not computed. No engine runs on this page. Read the journey in full

No demonstration is configured for this journey yet.

Configured for

AI / Inference Harness

Change
The decision

This applicant's probability of repaying, the limit it supports, and the lender's decision.

A wallet customer asks for a small loan before payday. The lender holds an approved, purpose-limited view of their operator and wallet history, and has to answer in seconds.

  • Approve at the recommended limit
  • Approve at a lower limit, with the reason
  • Refer for a human decision
  • No loan, with the reason codes shown
What it does

Three things it helps you decide or do.

  • Decide the wallet action, including none

    Growth, retention, personalisation and reactivation offers for the wallet are chosen from approved actions including no action, and a customer without consent or an ineligible product is not contacted.

    • Offer
    • service message
    • reward
    • channel change
    • human follow-up
    • suppress
    • do nothing
  • Estimate repayment from approved data, with reasons

    A consenting applicant's calibrated probability of repayment is estimated from approved operator, wallet and lender attributes; eligibility, a limit recommendation, cross-sell and renewal carry reason codes.

    • customer_id
    • account_type
    • tenure_days
    • active_products
    • recharge_30d
    • usage_30d
    • revenue_30d
    • last_contact
    • consent_status
    • outcome_label
  • Watch the loan after it is made

    Early delinquency detection, collections prioritisation and payment-promise prediction read the outcome ledger, so the portfolio is monitored against the decisions that built it.

    • Decision log
    • eligibility snapshot
    • price/order response
    • delivery receipt
    • control assignment
    • revenue/outcome ledger
The journey

Estimate who will repay, and let the lender decide

No demonstration is configured for this product yet.

Mobile Money, Credit & Financial Services: the situation this product is about

Mobile financial services, bank and MFI credit risk teams

StepWhat the customer experiencesWhat the operator does
The momentThe moment that started it.A wallet customer asks for a small loan before payday, and the lender has an approved, purpose-limited view of their operator and wallet history.Reads consent and the approved, purpose-limited attributes, wallet and operator history within the approved window, affordability and existing obligations, the lender's policy and limits.
The decisionThe decision to be made.Nothing reaches the customer yet.Estimates the calibrated probability of repayment from the approved attributes, with reason codes, and recommends a limit; the lender decides.
The safeguardsThe conditions that stop it.Still nothing. No action is sent until every check has passed.Consent, purpose limitation, data approval, affordability and the lender's own policy checks pass.
The actionThe action that reaches the customer.The lender's credit engine approves, limits or declines; the customer sees the decision and its reasons in their own language. Reaches them on USSD, App, Agent, in Kiswahili, English.Recommends. The system that holds the right confirms, charges or provisions.
When it goes wrongRefusal, failure and recovery.The estimate reads an attribute the purpose approval did not cover, and a decision is made on data the customer did not consent to.The purpose-limitation check refuses the attribute before the estimate runs, the decision is made on the approved set, and the audit records which attribute was excluded and why.
The resultThe change it made.What changed for them is what is counted; nothing else is claimed.Repayment on time against the propensity estimated, and delinquency caught early.
The proofThe proof anyone can check.Can be answered for, later, from the record.Consent, approved attributes, estimate and reason codes, limit recommendation, lender's decision, disbursement and repayment record.

Hypothesis

A loan sized to repayment is repaid and renewed; one sized to the request is a collection.

Desired result: Incremental revenue or retention; lower contact waste; improved conversion with margin guardrails

Modelled not observed

No figure is modelled for this journey. The mechanism that could produce the result is stated instead.

Ingest → qualify → score → apply limits/consent → assign control → execute approved action → capture delivery and business outcome → monitor/retrain

Observed

Nothing yet. Measurement begins in a pilot’s validate stage, on your systems, against a comparison agreed first.

Randomised holdout where feasible; intent-to-treat primary view; pre-declared denominator; guardrails for complaints, margin and opt-out

Measured on: Eligible population; treatment rate; conversion; incremental revenue; ARPU; churn; contact rate; margin; opt-out; decision latency

Assumptions, costs and the record’s five answers
  1. 01
    Desired result

    The result wanted.

    Incremental revenue or retention; lower contact waste; improved conversion with margin guardrails

  2. 02
    Mechanism

    The mechanism that could produce it.

    Ingest → qualify → score → apply limits/consent → assign control → execute approved action → capture delivery and business outcome → monitor/retrain

  3. 03
    Evidence required

    The records kept to show it.

    Decision log; eligibility snapshot; price/order response; delivery receipt; control assignment; revenue/outcome ledger

  4. 04
    Costs and risks

    The cost, and the ways it can go wrong.

    Costs: Setup fee + annual product subscription; optional managed execution fee; optional verified-outcome fee with agreed baseline

    If it fails: Fail closed on eligibility/consent/price; queue retryable events; do not duplicate orders; route exception to campaign operations

  5. 05
    Measurement approach

    The measure that shows it helped.

    Randomised holdout where feasible; intent-to-treat primary view; pre-declared denominator; guardrails for complaints, margin and opt-out

    Measured on: Eligible population; treatment rate; conversion; incremental revenue; ARPU; churn; contact rate; margin; opt-out; decision latency

Nothing has been observed for this product. Every line above is the record's own design intent; measurement begins in a pilot's validate stage, on your systems, with the comparison agreed first.

The business side

The change
Repayment on time against the propensity estimated, and delinquency caught early.
Running cost
Setup fee + annual product subscription; optional managed execution fee; optional verified-outcome fee with agreed baseline
What evidence supports it
Consent, approved attributes, estimate and reason codes, limit recommendation, lender's decision, disbursement and repayment record.
Technical detail

Inputs, decision logic, systems touched, records kept.

Four questions an evaluation asks in a different order every time. Every field is the workbook’s own, unedited.

What would we need from your systems, and how much history?

Attributes required

  • customer_id
  • account_type
  • tenure_days
  • active_products
  • recharge_30d
  • usage_30d
  • revenue_30d
  • last_contact
  • consent_status
  • outcome_label

Also useful, not required

  • Network experience
  • digital clickstream
  • complaints
  • location cohort
  • household/account links
  • partner purchases

8-12 weeks of customer, usage, revenue, product, contact and outcome history; stable customer key; one executable channel

The 28 definitions underneath

28 in this product

  1. HeuriTel Mobile MoneyDecision definitionHT-0276

    Identify eligible records for mobile money, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0276
  2. HeuriTel Wallet GrowthDecision definitionHT-0277

    Identify eligible records for wallet growth, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0277
  3. HeuriTel Wallet RetentionDecision definitionHT-0278

    Identify eligible records for wallet retention, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0278
  4. HeuriTel Wallet PersonalisationDecision definitionHT-0279

    Identify eligible records for wallet personalisation, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0279
  5. HeuriTel Wallet ReactivationDecision definitionHT-0280

    Identify eligible records for wallet reactivation, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0280
  6. HeuriTel Mobile LendingDecision definitionHT-0281

    Support mobile lending with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0281
  7. HeuriTel Credit EligibilityDecision definitionHT-0282

    Support credit eligibility with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0282
  8. HeuriTel Credit Repayment PropensityDecision definitionHT-0283

    Estimate a consenting applicant's calibrated probability of repayment from approved operator, wallet and lender attributes; the lender remains the decision authority.

    /d/HT-0283
  9. HeuriTel Credit Limit RecommendationDecision definitionHT-0284

    Support credit limit recommendation with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0284
  10. HeuriTel Loan Cross-SellDecision definitionHT-0285

    Support loan cross-sell with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0285
  11. HeuriTel Loan RenewalDecision definitionHT-0286

    Support loan renewal with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0286
  12. HeuriTel Early Delinquency DetectionDecision definitionHT-0287

    Support early delinquency detection with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0287
  13. HeuriTel Collections PrioritisationDecision definitionHT-0288

    Support collections prioritisation with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0288
  14. HeuriTel Payment Promise PredictionDecision definitionHT-0289

    Support payment promise prediction with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0289
  15. HeuriTel InsuranceDecision definitionHT-0290

    Identify eligible records for insurance, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0290
  16. HeuriTel Insurance PropensityDecision definitionHT-0291

    Identify eligible records for insurance propensity, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0291
  17. HeuriTel Merchant PaymentsDecision definitionHT-0292

    Identify eligible records for merchant payments, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0292
  18. HeuriTel PaymentsDecision definitionHT-0293

    Identify eligible records for payments, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0293
  19. HeuriTel RemittanceDecision definitionHT-0294

    Identify eligible records for remittance, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0294
  20. HeuriTel SavingsDecision definitionHT-0295

    Identify eligible records for savings, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0295
  21. HeuriTel Savings PropensityDecision definitionHT-0296

    Identify eligible records for savings propensity, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0296
  22. HeuriTel Financial Services PersonalisationDecision definitionHT-0297

    Identify eligible records for financial services personalisation, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0297
  23. HeuriTel Microfinance Customer VerificationDecision definitionHT-0298

    Identify eligible records for microfinance customer verification, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0298
  24. HeuriTel Microfinance Portfolio MonitoringDecision definitionHT-0299

    Identify eligible records for microfinance portfolio monitoring, choose from approved actions including no action, execute through the system of record, and measure the agreed business outcome.

    /d/HT-0299
  25. HeuriTel Thin-File Credit ScoringDecision definitionHT-0300

    Support thin-file credit scoring with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0300
  26. HeuriTel Responsible Lending ControlsDecision definitionHT-0301

    Support responsible lending controls with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0301
  27. HeuriTel Loan Fraud DetectionDecision definitionHT-0302

    Support loan fraud detection with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0302
  28. HeuriTel Merchant Credit ScoringDecision definitionHT-0303

    Support merchant credit scoring with approved, purpose-limited data, documented policy, human/credit-engine authority, reason codes and outcome monitoring.

    /d/HT-0303

Search definitions across every product

Implementing it

Four stages, and what has to be true before the next one starts.

12-16 weeks to pilot; 2-4 additional weeks per market after reusable interfaces exist. A team of 8 roles, named in the record rather than promised.

  1. 01

    Scope

    One use case, one value unit and a denominator finance has agreed to. Without these there is nothing a later result can be compared against.

    • Confirm value unit
    • select use case
    • baseline denominator
  2. 02

    Connect

    The attributes mapped from your systems, and the decision and outcome interfaces working in both directions.

    • map attributes
    • integrate decision and outcome APIs
  3. 03

    Validate

    Eligibility agreed, a dry run with nothing sent, then a controlled pilot with a holdout that is actually respected.

    • build eligibility
    • dry run
    • controlled pilot
  4. 04

    Operate

    The live loop: decide, check, execute through your systems, capture what came back, and measure against the control.

    • Ingest
    • qualify
    • score
    • apply limits/consent
    • assign control
    • execute approved action
    • capture delivery and business outcome
    • monitor/retrain

Who does it. 1 telecom product lead · 1 CVM specialist · 1 data engineer · 1 ML engineer · 1 integration developer · 0.5 QA · 0.5 DevSecOps · 1 deployment coordinator

Four states are tracked, and each is assessed against your systems.

Readiness is assessed per client: nothing is offered as pilot-ready until your data, your integration and your authority have been checked.

Readiness

Needs client data and integration review

The client’s data and integration position.
Runtime / build state

Target product definition

What exists as running software.
Surface state

Not audited

Whether this product shows the entry anywhere.
Client status

Not assessed

Where a named client has reached.

Next steps from here.

28 definitions sit under Mobile Money, Credit & Financial Services. The two links that matter first are the journey this page describes, and the rest of the family it belongs to.

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